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Attrition Rate?

Printed From: NYC Midnight : Creative Writing & Screenwriting
Category: GENERAL DISCUSSION
Forum Name: Everything Else
Forum Description: Anything not related to creative writing, screenwriting, or NYC Midnight competitions.
URL: https://forums.nycmidnight.com/forum_posts.asp?TID=14539
Printed Date: 14 Nov 2019 at 4:05am
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Topic: Attrition Rate?
Posted By: Dogmafrog
Subject: Attrition Rate?
Date Posted: 27 Mar 2017 at 6:29am
Anyone know the average dropout rate for these competitions? I gotta guess about 10% of people just don't turn a story in. Normal life schedules, or they hate their heat and can't think of anything, stuff like that. I'm also curious if there are any correlations between attrition and genre (like, does RomCom have a higher dropout rate than SciFi?).



Replies:
Posted By: Suave
Date Posted: 22 Jun 2017 at 3:46am
The dropout rate is more like 75% if people see that I am entered.  Does not make any difference what genre.


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Posted By: AnastasiaW
Date Posted: 22 Jun 2017 at 6:27am
I've often wondered this. I figure it is pretty high in the first round and less and less as you go on. It makes all successes a little less successful :(

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Posted By: MattrickBT
Date Posted: 18 Jul 2017 at 1:26am
Originally posted by Suave Suave wrote:

The dropout rate is more like 75% if people see that I am entered.  Does not make any difference what genre.


Move over. There's a new gunslinger in the saloon.


Posted By: nixie
Date Posted: 19 Jul 2017 at 1:15am
Originally posted by Dogmafrog Dogmafrog wrote:

Anyone know the average dropout rate for these competitions? I gotta guess about 10% of people just don't turn a story in. Normal life schedules, or they hate their heat and can't think of anything, stuff like that. I'm also curious if there are any correlations between attrition and genre (like, does RomCom have a higher dropout rate than SciFi?).

Since half the entrants in the first round don't show any result, it's essentially impossible to know if someone dropped out or just scored a zero.  The only thing that can be said for certain is that:
- 50% of entrants do not get a score in the first challenge
- 50% do not get a score in the second challenge
- 85% do not progress to round 2  (5 from each group, groups of ~30ish gives a 15% figure for progression)

Beyond that, there is insufficient data to extrapolate.

That said, I would guess that 10% is awfully high.  Entrance fees for this contest are significant, and most folks don't just throw that money away. :)


Posted By: nixie
Date Posted: 19 Jul 2017 at 1:16am
Originally posted by MattrickBT MattrickBT wrote:

Originally posted by Suave Suave wrote:

The dropout rate is more like 75% if people see that I am entered.  Does not make any difference what genre.


Move over. There's a new gunslinger in the saloon.

Is there?  All I saw was a tiny little boy with a big mouth and a pea shooter. 




Posted By: MattrickBT
Date Posted: 19 Jul 2017 at 9:24pm
Originally posted by nixie nixie wrote:

Originally posted by MattrickBT MattrickBT wrote:

Originally posted by Suave Suave wrote:

The dropout rate is more like 75% if people see that I am entered.  Does not make any difference what genre.


Move over. There's a new gunslinger in the saloon.

Is there?  All I saw was a tiny little boy with a big mouth and a pea shooter. 




Uh oh, someone can't take humour.


Posted By: Victoria
Date Posted: 23 Sep 2017 at 9:46pm
Originally posted by nixie nixie wrote:

Originally posted by MattrickBT MattrickBT wrote:

Originally posted by Suave Suave wrote:

The dropout rate is more like 75% if people see that I am entered.  Does not make any difference what genre.


Move over. There's a new gunslinger in the saloon.

Is there?  All I saw was a tiny little boy with a big mouth and a pea shooter. 



Tiny Pee Shooter. 


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Posted By: Lynne
Date Posted: 29 Sep 2017 at 8:39pm
I attrited??? on second story in FF this year - embarrassed to admit. I pooped out. Plan to jump back next year with Short Story and  hopefully more endurance.


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